The Brazilian footwear trade association, Abicalçados, forecast that production in the sector should fall by 21 percent to 30 percent in 2020, adding up to 191 million to 265 million fewer pairs of shoes compared to last year and dropping to the level last seen 16 years ago. In a presentation, the association estimated the fall in output topped 70 percent in April, considered the peak of the crisis, contributing to an estimated 29.9 percent to 33.5 percent decline in the first half.

Abicalçados also expects exports to fall by 27.3 percent to 30.6 percent in 2020, resulting in 80 million to 89 million pairs sold abroad, the worst result since 1983.

It estimates that 31,000 jobs were lost due to the decline in production in the year to April. In December 2019, the sector employed 269,000 people.